The Keighley Situation
Keighley, on the other hand, is a marginal.
The sitting MP, Ann Cryer, is popular local and stood up against Blair on the Iraq war. She took it from the Conservatives in '97 and has a majority of 4,000 over them. I can't see more people turning to the Conservatives, but it's not a case of gaining support; it's a case of standing still while the Labour vote falls away.
There are two sources that could, if they take enough votes from her, could deliver the seat back to the Conservatives.
Firstly, the LibDems. They're fielding the only Asian candidate in a seat with a 9% Asian population, plus there's the Anti-Blair, Anti-Iraq, Anti-Anti-Terrorism vote.
Secondly there's the extremely repugnant BNP leader standing. BNP represents 2 council wards in Keighley, which they won with about 3,000 votes. Thankfully local people have got together and sent out anti-fascist stuff throughout Keighley.
Keighley's not my favourite town in the country, but I don't want to see the BNP engineering a race riot there.
So the question is whether the Asian vote will go to the LibDem enough and the white moron vote will go to the BNP enough to let the Tories win in Keighley?
Ordinarilly I'd beg people to vote LibDem in Keighley. But if it delivers a Conservative victory replacing an apparently decent Old Labour MP, I'm not sure.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/vote2005/html/344.stm
The sitting MP, Ann Cryer, is popular local and stood up against Blair on the Iraq war. She took it from the Conservatives in '97 and has a majority of 4,000 over them. I can't see more people turning to the Conservatives, but it's not a case of gaining support; it's a case of standing still while the Labour vote falls away.
There are two sources that could, if they take enough votes from her, could deliver the seat back to the Conservatives.
Firstly, the LibDems. They're fielding the only Asian candidate in a seat with a 9% Asian population, plus there's the Anti-Blair, Anti-Iraq, Anti-Anti-Terrorism vote.
Secondly there's the extremely repugnant BNP leader standing. BNP represents 2 council wards in Keighley, which they won with about 3,000 votes. Thankfully local people have got together and sent out anti-fascist stuff throughout Keighley.
Keighley's not my favourite town in the country, but I don't want to see the BNP engineering a race riot there.
So the question is whether the Asian vote will go to the LibDem enough and the white moron vote will go to the BNP enough to let the Tories win in Keighley?
Ordinarilly I'd beg people to vote LibDem in Keighley. But if it delivers a Conservative victory replacing an apparently decent Old Labour MP, I'm not sure.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/vote2005/html/344.stm
posted by Kev @ 10:08 pm
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